Tuesday, 9 September 2014

Performance Review: POSH (PACC)

Performance Review On POSH (PACC)


Shorted Price: $1.13 on 22nd July 2014 (refer to my sell call here)

Target price: $0.86

Buy-Back Price: $0.890 Today

Profit / Loss (after deducting Comm and Script borrowing cost): 25.47%  over the tenure of 9 weeks


Comment:

I have covered all my short position on POSH (PACC). 

My buy-back price of $0.89 is near my target price of $0.86. Although I could have waited it to reach my Target price before closing, 3 cents is negligible and the additional higher script borrowing cost might not be worthwhile. Meanwhile the marine industry has started to show sign of recovery, it is safer to cover any short position now to avoid any head wind.

Overall profit of 25.47% is good considering it was made over a mere tenure of 9 weeks.

Cheers.

Sunday, 7 September 2014

Busy Till December

Hi Friends,

I am currently busy with a 3 months project which will impact my year end bonus.

I will still try to reply any email or request ASAP but my apology for not being able to do it immediately.

Meanwhile I look forward for more sharing from readers.


Friday, 5 September 2014

Follow Up On IREIT Global

Follow Up On IREIT Global


Hi Friends,


In my previous post, I sold my IREIT Global at 89.5cents (Refer to performance review here). Although I made a small gain of 0.58%, the price at which I sold was still a far cry from my original target price of $1.06 (Refer to initial analysis here). As I had said in my performance review, the reason for selling prematurely was to take shelter from Quantitative Easing (QE) from European Central Bank (ECB).

Today is the 8th day since I sold my IREIT Global, as expected ECB announced its decision to cut benchmark rate from the current 0.15% to 0.05% (Refer to the news here).  As a result of the QE, Euro dollar depreciated deeply aganist SGD (refer to the following chart).



The consequence of depreciating Euro is a fall in yield and net worth of IREIT Global. If the market is efficient, we should see this being reflected in the price of IREIT Global. I am glad that I made the right decision to sold my shares earlier.

While most the recommendations made by this blog involve betting against the market (with the believe that market is inefficient), it is never the aim of Rosesyrup Research to bet against Macro-Economic forces.


Cheers to those who follow this blog.

Thursday, 4 September 2014

Exclusive high-end realty market bucks China's housing problems


Source: http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140904000090&cid=1202

Exclusive high-end realty market bucks China's housing problems


  • Staff Reporter
  •  
  • 2014-09-04
  •  
  • 10:45 (GMT+8)
A model of apartments in Hangzhou, Sept. 2. (File photo/Xinhua)
A model of apartments in Hangzhou, Sept. 2. (File photo/Xinhua)
Despite the government lowering restrictions to unprecedented levels, the high-end realty market has continued to boom while the low-end market flounders, according to the Chinese-language Global Entrepreneur magazine.
In the first seven months this year, 3,885 new houses priced at 5 million yuan (US$810,000) or above were sold in Beijing at an average price of 41,242 yuan/square meter (US$6,720), up 7.4% year-on-year. Furthermore, 232 houses priced 20 million yuan (US$3.3 million) or higher were bought, up 13.7% year-on-year. The average transaction price for new houses in the city, on the other hand, dropped 8.2% to 13,623 yuan/square meter (US$2,220).
China's housing market has been weighed down by an overwhelming number of residences against a tight credit policy. Fortunately, this has not deterred the purchasing power of those interested in the luxury house market. Buyers are able to fork over as much as 60% of their own funds in a purchase, compared with 35% for buyers at the medium- and low-end sectors.
Zheng Haiyian, analyst at Landz Estate, a luxury-housing broker, noted that with many municipal governments having eased the restriction on housing purchases, the overall housing market has picked up. Luxury housing, with limited supply, has retained a stable demand, according to the magazine.
Zhu Jia, chairman of Sun Real Estate in Beijing, said the most popular luxury houses are those featuring a high price/performance ratio and unique resources, on top of low carbon emissions, low environmental impact and a layout conducive to social gatherings. Price is a less sensitive issue for buyers in this segment, according to the report.
In general, the luxury housing market is stable and thwarts the price fluctuations normally damaging to the rest of the country's real estate.

Tuesday, 2 September 2014

Another Chinese Article (On Ying Li International Real Estate)

Found this article written in Mandarin  (sorry can't find any English version of the article)

Source: http://cq.focus.cn/news/2014-09-02/5477870.html

首席新加坡风情社区 英利狮城花园将圆梦山城

每每说到花园城市,人们首先想到的一定是新加坡。新加坡又叫做狮城,因其干净、自由、阳光的生活氛围而闻名于世。而能生活在新加坡一样的美丽花园国度,则是众多现代城市精英人群孜孜以求的优居梦想。近日,有着城市地标专家美称的英利国际置业荣耀降临北部新区机场路,以26万方低密度花园品质社区——英利狮城花园,圆全城名流一个生态宜居梦。
  雄踞“奥宜麦”千亿商圈核心
  圆精英一个繁华梦
  “随着各大国际性大卖场的投入使用,麦德龙—宜家-奥特莱斯国际商圈完美成型,其核心区域以英利狮城花园为代表的稀缺物业价值将得到进一步提升。”一业界人士认为,今年3月27日宜家家居已经开业。“奥宜麦”千亿商圈已经繁华呈现,将为重庆人提供高品质的国际化生活,随着商圈进一步发展和扩容提质,该区域也将成为重庆主城最时尚、最潮流的国际生活圈。
  西部奥特莱斯实景图
该人士介绍,英利狮城花园位于“奥宜麦”商圈核心,区位位置极其优越。该区域素有重庆“首席富人区”的美称,聚集了上百万的高端富裕人群。土地的稀缺性与旺盛高端住宅消费需求不成正比,占据黄金地段的风情洋房更是成这一区域的“香饽饽”。此次英利狮城花园的面世,将为高富菁英打造一个坐享千亿商圈的繁华宜居梦。
  英利狮城花园中庭湖心效果图
低密度新加坡风情社区绽放
  圆山城一个花园梦
  据了解,不负花园城市美名的英利狮城花园可谓未售先火,吸引广大高富阶层的关注。因为有着纯正新加坡血统,项目自设计初始就以新加坡为蓝本打造。园林景观上,以鱼尾狮风情园、裕廊湖、丘吉尔庄园、桑菲尔庄园、海德花园五大景区演绎璀璨花园城市风情。以超高绿化率、海量车位匹配,打造低密度宜居原味新加坡风情社区。物业上,以国际一流的新加坡物管为典范,让业主尊享极致的物业服务。
  “之前在新加坡有留过几年学,回来后就一直念念不忘。主要是那边干净的空气、花园般的城市街道深深的吸引了我。这次真没想到重庆也有这么高品质的新加坡风情洋房社区,楼盘只要一上市,我应该就会去认购。”有着新加坡留学背景的赵小姐向记者说道。
  据悉,英利狮城花园套内88-166㎡新加坡风情洋房近期将荣耀面世,届时,售楼部与样板示范区也将同步对外开放。

Ying Li looks to widen property portfolio to Beijing, Shanghai

Sourcehttp://www.businesstimes.com.sg/breaking-news/singapore/ying-li-looks-widen-property-portfolio-beijing-shanghai-20140902


Ying Li looks to widen property portfolio to Beijing, Shanghai


INGAPORE-LISTED Chongqing commercial developer Ying Li International Real Estate could begin diversifying its property portfolio to Shanghai and Beijing by the end of this year.
Said James Pan, Everbright head of real estate investment and fund raising: "Chongqing is a very important market especially for Ying Li, where it has built up a strong reputation and a brand name.
"On the other hand, the market is providing us with a window, because it has slowed down and developers are cautious on land acquisitions.
"With Everbright's network, capital and strong execution, and with significantly reduced gearing and fresh capital for Ying Li, we will have a chance to enter Tier 1 cities."

Alternative View On Japfa

Hi All,

A fellow blogger sent me the following link to his alternative view on JAPFA.


http://chemiccapital.blogspot.sg/



I thank the contributor for his effort.


And I look forward for more sharing from everyone.


For JAPFA !